Kentucky
W-L: (25-11) PR = 97.2950Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 75-59 1106 A Monmouth CA (19-13, 93.4) **-49 1109 A Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) 81-47 1112 A SC Upstate BSO ( 9-21, 91.5) 90-30 1115 A Marshall SB (24- 9, 95.1) 76-44 1118 A Purdue B10 (13-17, 95.6) 76-35 1122 A Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 72-62 1126 H Maryland B10 (24- 9, 97.2) 66-74 1128 A Morgan State MEAC ( 5-25, 90.9) **-39 1203 A Miami (Fl) ACC (18-15, 95.6) 64-48 1207 A Ce Michigan MA (17-12, 94.3) 82-55 1214 A Belmont MV (20-12, 94.8) 77-69 1219 A Wright St HL ( 9-23, 92.5) 96-53 1228 A Hofstra CA (11-22, 92.5) 80-42 101 A LSU SEC (29- 6, 98.2) 80-78 104 A Missouri SEC M (17-17, 95.6) 74-52 108 H Alabama SEC A (24-11, 97.1) 51-64 111 A Oklahoma SEC O (26- 8, 97.8) 63-57 115 A Florida SEC (18-15, 95.8) 94-89 118 H Miss St SEC M (18-13, 96.0) 59-71 122 H Tennessee SEC (15-14, 96.6) 58-60 124 H Georgia SEC (22-10, 96.8) 67-72 201 A Arkansas SEC (12-20, 94.7) 93-73 205 H Vanderbilt SEC V (28- 5, 98.1) 83-84 209 H Texas SEC T (34- 4, 99.1) 53-64 212 A Texas A&M SEC T (14-13, 96.3) 75-55 215 A Ole Miss SEC (24-12, 97.1) 74-57 222 H Vanderbilt SEC V (28- 5, 98.1) 79-81 226 A Auburn SEC A (15-17, 95.6) 63-56 301 H So Carolina SEC (35- 4, 99.2) 56-60 304 A Arkansas SEC (12-20, 94.7) 94-64 305 A Georgia SEC (22-10, 96.8) 76-61 306 H So Carolina SEC (35- 4, 99.2) 64-87 321 A Jam Madison SB (26- 9, 95.6) 71-56 323 A West Va B12 (27- 8, 97.3) 74-73 328 H Texas SEC T (34- 4, 99.1) 54-76
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Morehead St 75-59 16 4 0.00
1106 A Monmouth **-49 55 4 0.00
1109 A Buffalo 81-47 34 6 0.00
1112 A SC Upstate 90-30 60 6 0.00
1115 A Marshall 76-44 32 2 0.00
1118 A Purdue 76-35 41 2 0.27
1122 A Louisville 72-62 10 0 + 2.24
1126 H Maryland 66-74 -8 0 - -2.08
1128 A Morgan State **-39 62 6 0.00
1203 A Miami (Fl) 64-48 16 2 0.34
1207 A Ce Michigan 82-55 27 3 0.00
1214 A Belmont 77-69 8 3 0.00
1219 A Wright St 96-53 43 5 0.00
1228 A Hofstra 80-42 38 5 0.00
101 A LSU 80-78 2 -1 + 2.91
104 A Missouri 74-52 22 2 0.34
108 H Alabama 51-64 -13 0 - -2.17
111 A Oklahoma 63-57 6 0 + 2.47
115 A Florida 94-89 5 1 0.50
118 H Miss St 59-71 -12 1 - -3.34
122 H Tennessee 58-60 -2 1 - -2.74
124 H Georgia 67-72 -5 1 - -2.53
201 A Arkansas 93-73 20 3 0.00
205 H Vanderbilt 83-84 -1 -1 -0.25
209 H Texas 53-64 -11 -2 -0.21
212 A Texas A&M 75-55 20 1 1.04
215 A Ole Miss 74-57 17 0 1.79
222 H Vanderbilt 79-81 -2 -1 -1.25
226 A Auburn 63-56 7 2 0.32
301 H So Carolina 56-60 -4 -2 -0.14
304 A Arkansas 94-64 30 3 0.00
305 A Georgia 76-61 15 1 1.49
306 H So Carolina 64-87 -23 -2 -0.14
321 A Jam Madison 71-56 15 2 0.36
323 A West Va 74-73 1 0 1.02
328 H Texas 54-76 -22 -2 -0.21
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1126 H Maryland 66-74 -8 0 - -2.08 108 H Alabama 51-64 -13 0 - -2.17 118 H Miss St 59-71 -12 1 - -3.34 122 H Tennessee 58-60 -2 1 - -2.74 124 H Georgia 67-72 -5 1 - -2.53 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1122 A Louisville 72-62 10 0 + 2.24 101 A LSU 80-78 2 -1 + 2.91 111 A Oklahoma 63-57 6 0 + 2.47 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 75-59 -6.18 4.78 0.01 0.84 8.08
3 A Monmouth (19-13, 93.4) **-49 -6.54 4.42 0.01 0.84 7.47
3 A Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) 81-47 -8.29 2.67 0.01 0.84 4.52
3 A SC Upstate ( 9-21, 91.5) 90-30 -8.38 2.58 0.01 0.84 4.36
3 A Marshall (24- 9, 95.1) 76-44 -4.80 6.16 0.01 0.84 10.40
3 A Purdue (13-17, 95.6) 76-35 -4.34 6.62 0.01 0.84 11.17
3 A Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 72-62 -2.37 8.59 0.01 0.84 14.49
3 H Maryland (24- 9, 97.2) 66-74 -2.68 8.28 -0.01 0.84 -1.13
3 A Morgan State ( 5-25, 90.9) **-39 -9.02 1.94 0.01 0.84 3.28
3 A Miami (Fl) (18-15, 95.6) 64-48 -4.27 6.69 0.01 0.84 11.29
3 A Ce Michigan (17-12, 94.3) 82-55 -5.56 5.40 0.01 0.84 9.13
3 A Belmont (20-12, 94.8) 77-69 -5.14 5.82 0.01 0.84 9.84
3 A Wright St ( 9-23, 92.5) 96-53 -7.38 3.58 0.01 0.84 6.05
3 A Hofstra (11-22, 92.5) 80-42 -7.36 3.60 0.01 0.84 6.09
3 A LSU (29- 6, 98.2) 80-78 -1.71 9.25 0.01 0.84 15.61
3 A Missouri (17-17, 95.6) 74-52 -4.27 6.69 0.01 0.84 11.29
3 H Alabama (24-11, 97.1) 51-64 -2.77 8.19 -0.01 0.84 -1.17
3 A Oklahoma (26- 8, 97.8) 63-57 -2.14 8.82 0.01 0.84 14.88
3 A Florida (18-15, 95.8) 94-89 -4.11 6.85 0.01 0.84 11.56
3 H Miss St (18-13, 96.0) 59-71 -3.94 7.02 -0.01 0.84 -1.66
3 H Tennessee (15-14, 96.6) 58-60 -3.34 7.62 -0.01 0.84 -1.41
3 H Georgia (22-10, 96.8) 67-72 -3.13 7.83 -0.01 0.84 -1.32
3 A Arkansas (12-20, 94.7) 93-73 -5.16 5.80 0.01 0.84 9.80
3 H Vanderbilt (28- 5, 98.1) 83-84 -1.85 9.11 -0.01 0.84 -0.78
3 H Texas (34- 4, 99.1) 53-64 -0.81 10.15 -0.01 0.84 -0.34
3 A Texas A&M (14-13, 96.3) 75-55 -3.58 7.38 0.01 0.84 12.47
3 A Ole Miss (24-12, 97.1) 74-57 -2.82 8.14 0.01 0.84 13.73
3 H Vanderbilt (28- 5, 98.1) 79-81 -1.85 9.11 -0.01 0.84 -0.78
3 A Auburn (15-17, 95.6) 63-56 -4.29 6.67 0.01 0.84 11.26
3 H So Carolina (35- 4, 99.2) 56-60 -0.74 10.22 -0.01 0.84 -0.32
3 A Arkansas (12-20, 94.7) 94-64 -5.16 5.80 0.01 0.84 9.80
3 A Georgia (22-10, 96.8) 76-61 -3.13 7.83 0.01 0.84 13.22
3 H So Carolina (35- 4, 99.2) 64-87 -0.74 10.22 -0.01 0.84 -0.32
3 A Jam Madison (26- 9, 95.6) 71-56 -4.25 6.71 0.01 0.84 11.32
3 A West Va (27- 8, 97.3) 74-73 -2.60 8.36 0.01 0.84 14.12
3 H Texas (34- 4, 99.1) 54-76 -0.81 10.15 -0.01 0.84 -0.34
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245.67
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winning pts = 255.2569 losing points = -9.5886
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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